Forecast Discussion for Suntree and vicinity from the NWS in Melbourne, Florida
Forecast Discussion for MLB NWS Office
000
FXUS62 KMLB 101430
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
931 AM EST WED MAR 10 2010
.DISCUSSION...
SE-SSE FLOW THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING THROUGH THE 60S
AT PRESENT TOWARD AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S/NR 80 INTERIOR
AND MID 70S AT THE COAST. SCATTERED STRATOCU AND UPPER LEVEL JET
CLOUDINESS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA AS THE DAY WEARS ON BUT WITH
SKIES AVERAGING PARTLY SUNNY. NO SIG CHANGES NEED TO GRIDS/ZONES
THIS MORNING.
TONIGHT...(PREVIOUS) RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AS MOISTURE LEVELS
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN THE DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES IN THE 500MB FLOW MOVE OVERHEAD. LIMITED CHANCE OF
THUNDER UNTIL VERY LATE...IF AT ALL...OVERNIGHT AS THE CONVERGENT
FRONT RIGHT QUADRANT OF A VERY STRONG...140 KNOT PLUS...JET IS NORTH
OF THE AREA BUT SLOWLY SHIFTING DOWN THE PENINSULA. MAY SEE A FEW
HUNDREDTHS (1/100THS) MAINLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE FOUR CORRIDOR
TOWARD SUNRISE WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN SUBSEQUENT PERIODS. SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH WINDS WILL KEEP THE COASTAL COUNTIES IN THE MID 60S WHILE
INTERIOR COUNTIES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 50 AND LOWER 60S.
&&
.AVIATION...SOME LINGERING MVFR CIGS NR KVRB THROUGH ~15Z THEN
PREVAILING VFR COND REST OF TODAY WITH CIGS AOA FL080.
&&
.MARINE...SE-SSE WINDS OVER THE WATERS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15KT BY
THIS AFTERNOON. SEA HEIGHTS OF 2-3FT HAVE SOME CONTRIBUTION FROM
LONG PERIOD SWELL WHICH IS ALSO ENHANCING RIP CURRENT RISK AT AREA
BEACHES TODAY. NO SIG CHANGES CURRENT MARINE FORECAST ON TRACK AND
NO SIG CHANGES NEEDED WITH NEXT CWF PACKAGE.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...(PREVIOUS)MIN RH VALUES SHOULD FALL TO THE UPPER
30S...AROUND 37 PERCENT...THIS AFTERNOON BUT DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED TO BE DIFFICULT TO ACHIEVE IN THE
SOUTHEAST FLOW.
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&
$$
GLITTO/BRAGAW
NWS MLB Office Area Forecast Discussion
