Forecast Discussion for Suntree and vicinity from the NWS in Melbourne, Florida
Forecast Discussion for MLB NWS Office
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FXUS62 KMLB 141411
AFDMLB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1010 AM EDT SUN MAR 14 2010
.DISCUSSION...
LARGE STORM SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLC WILL GENERATE A STEADY
WRLY FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA TODAY. MORNING SOUNDINGS
SHOW A DRY AND VERY STABLE AIRMASS OVERHEAD WITH PW VALUES ~0.5" AND
A STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION IN THE H85-H70 LYR. THE USAF 915HZ
WIND PROFILER AT THE CAPS SHOWS SFC/BNDRY LYR WINDS WEAKENED
SLIGHTLY SINCE DAYBREAK...LIKELY DUE TO A WEAK SFC TROF OVER THE ERN
GOMEX. EXPECT THIS TO BE A TEMPORARY LULL...HOWEVER...AS THE LCL
PGRAD STILL REMAINS RATHER TIGHT. WINDS ALOFT ARE IN THE 20-30KT
RANGE AND SHOULD MIX DOWN BY MIDDAY.
MORNING FCST PACKAGE LOOKS GOOD...WILL UPDATE TO REFRESH THE
HEADLINES AND THE TEXT BUT ANY CHANGES WOULD BE LARGELY TRANSPARENT.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR ALL SITES THRU 15/18Z...WRLY SFC WND G25KT THRU 14/23Z.
&&
.MARINE...
NEARSHORE DATA BUOYS ARE PICKING UP A SMALL BACKGROUND SWELL WITH A
14-15SEC PD. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS DETERIORATE RAPIDLY WITHIN A FEW
MILES AS BUOY009/012 BOTH MEASURING 4-5FT SEAS WITH 4-5SEC PDS.
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNDER A FRESH WESTERLY
BREEZE AND CHOPPY SHORT PD SEAS. EXERCISE CAUTION NEARSHORE/ADVISORY
OFFSHORE.
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 10 PM EDT MONDAY FOR WATERS
FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60
NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20
TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...BRAGAW
LONG TERM....CRISTALDI
NWS MLB Office Area Forecast Discussion
